Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.029091 0.031322 0.033560 0.035968 0.038483 0.041029 0.043799
2025-11-02 0.024873 0.028387 0.032036 0.036093 0.040462 0.045013 0.050097
2025-11-09 0.022076 0.026337 0.030877 0.036044 0.041730 0.047768 0.054634
2025-11-16 0.019885 0.024658 0.029862 0.035902 0.042666 0.049961 0.058373
2025-11-23 0.018019 0.023163 0.028886 0.035647 0.043338 0.051742 0.061549
2025-11-30 0.016525 0.021967 0.028138 0.035544 0.044085 0.053529 0.064662
2025-12-07 0.014938 0.020550 0.027038 0.034946 0.044190 0.054525 0.066828
2025-12-14 0.013450 0.019156 0.025879 0.034202 0.044056 0.055190 0.068567
2025-12-21 0.012148 0.017908 0.024825 0.033517 0.043933 0.055820 0.070223
2025-12-28 0.011699 0.017698 0.025003 0.034281 0.045497 0.058390 0.074104
2026-01-04 0.010969 0.017084 0.024646 0.034367 0.046231 0.059973 0.076829
2026-01-11 0.010218 0.016400 0.024167 0.034271 0.046722 0.061251 0.079183
2026-01-18 0.009835 0.016231 0.024385 0.035107 0.048432 0.064084 0.083508
2026-01-25 0.009148 0.015626 0.024034 0.035235 0.049296 0.065944 0.086735
2026-02-01 0.008450 0.014961 0.023569 0.035187 0.049920 0.067497 0.089587
2026-02-08 0.007777 0.014287 0.023055 0.035047 0.050404 0.068864 0.092205
2026-02-15 0.007120 0.013593 0.022480 0.034797 0.050725 0.070017 0.094553
2026-02-22 0.006569 0.013018 0.022038 0.034695 0.051216 0.071361 0.097123
2026-03-01 0.005901 0.012221 0.021252 0.034107 0.051059 0.071890 0.098689
2026-03-08 0.005244 0.011394 0.020384 0.033374 0.050688 0.072130 0.099885
2026-03-15 0.004660 0.010639 0.019583 0.032699 0.050366 0.072411 0.101112
2026-03-22 0.004520 0.010604 0.019823 0.033451 0.051908 0.075032 0.105231
2026-03-29 0.004209 0.010260 0.019591 0.033536 0.052564 0.076533 0.107962